Page 7 - Financial Tribune No 638
P. 7

LATEST NEWS  Stone Export            Unprocessed decorative stone exports will be slapped with a 5-15% tariff as of the    end to the sale of unprocessed minerals, IRNA reported. Although the measure was                    Tehran Stock Exchange
             Tariff on the Way       next Iranian year (starting March 20, 2017), a deputy minister of industries, mining  eventually revoked, experts believe the sector has yet to regain the markets it lost.
                                     and trade announced on Sunday. Jafar Sarqeyni added that the duty will remain         According to the Ministry of Industries, Mining and Trade, Iran holds about 5 billion tons
                                     in effect for two years. Decorative stone exports were banned in 2006 to put an       of ornamental stone reserves and produces close to 14 million tons per year.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Index                 Value                           Changes
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Unit %
                                                                                                                                                 7
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       TEDPIX              80,063.7            4.90                   +0.01
                                                                                                                                                DECEMBER 5, 2016
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Price                 28,250.3          1.70                   +0.01

                                                                                                                                                                                                                       First Market          56,744.7  105.10                         +0.19

             IRANIAN ECONOMIC DAILY                                   www.financialtribune.com/economy                                                                                                                 Second Market       170,897.9   569.10                         -0.33

                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Industry Index        67,389.3         39.30                   +0.06

                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Free Float Index 88,721.90              5.59                   -0.01

Steel Potential, Challenges in Iran                                                                                                                                                                                    TSE 30                3,265.1           5.00                   +0.15

                                                                                                                                                                                                                       TSE 50                3,148.8           2.90                   +0.09

There is a mismatch between Iran’s steelmaking                                                                                                                                                                                 Excess Demand
          capacity and steel demand at present.
              A number of obstacles must be overcome for its                                                                                                                                                           Symbol              Volume               Last                Value (IRR)
          steel industry to reach its true potential, reads an
article published in Metal Bulletin magazine’s latest edition. The                                                                                                                                                     PIAZ1               5,075,279            3,361               17,058,012,719
full text follows:
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       DDPK1               1,534,374            6,990           10,725,274,260
    The international community’s interest in Iran, particularly its
steel sector, has increased significantly since sanctions were                                                                                                                                                          ABDI1               428,971              16,511          7,082,740,181
partially removed at the beginning of this year. Many foreign
steel producers, traders and equipment suppliers have rushed                                                                                                                                                                   Excess Supply
back to Iran to renew ties, seeing great business potential in
this market.                                                                                                                                                                                                           Symbol                Volume             Last                Value (IRR)

    Nevertheless, as much as it is promising, the Iranian market                                                                                                                                                       OFRX1               5,000,000            945             4,725,000,000
still remains challenging.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       SBHN1                 172,286            17,767          3,061,005,362
    On the one hand, with the liberalization of trade relations
and the inflow of investments into different sectors of the                                                                                                                                                             TAZB1                 501,363            6,084           3,050,292,492
country’s economy, it is expected to see significant growth in
steel consumption.                                                                                                                                                                                                     *TEDPIX: Tehran Stock Exchange Main Index
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       * FFI: Free Floating Index
    Investments in steel production itself will spur the country’s                                                                                                                                                     * FIN: Industry Index
export potential.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Source: www.tse.ir & www.ifb.ir
    Iran holds abundant raw materials and energy resources to
feed its growing steelmaking industry.                                                                                                                                                                                         Exchange Traded Funds

    On the other, the recovery of the economy is still hampered       Iran’s steelmaking capacity utilization rate is little over 60%.                                                                                 Symbol          Volume           Value           Last Price  Change%
by lingering banking issues, which means steel-consuming and                                                                                                                                                                                        (Million Rial)        (Rial)
steelmaking project realization may take longer than expected.
                                                                      their direct-reduced iron plants commissioned, while the            are not found.                                                               SERVATM          525            6.82m            12,998        +0.51
    Besides, the industry suffers from water and electricity supply   steelmaking plants will not come on stream until 2017-18 at             “We plan to strengthen our positions in the export market
problems as well as inland and external transportation problems.      the earliest.                                                                                                                                    ACORD           58,501          669.91m          11,451        +0.38
                                                                                                                                          through competitive prices, high quality, timely delivery
    Export markets are not so welcoming now, in view of the               Depending on the pace of the country’s economic                 as well as new destinations,” the country’s largest semi-                    SAYAND           300            4.09m            13,647        +0.24
number of antidumping investigations and protective duties            development, the output is expected to reach 35-40 million tons     finished steel producer Khouzestan Steel Company’s
being applied internationally.                                        per year.                                                           deputy managing director for sales and marketing, Bahman                     ETEMAD           770            10.66m           13,842        +0.07
                                                                                                                                          Tajallizadeh, said.
      Domestic Market Transformed                                           Are Exports Viable?                                                                                                                        ATLAS            3.17m          37.55b           11,860        +0.05
    The structure of the Iranian steel market has changed                 Considering the availability of the nation’s natural resources      Thus, KSC has become more active in slab sales this
over the years of sanctions. Following the implementation of a        and growing steelmaking capacities, as well as the currently        year, sending trial lots to Brazil and increasing sales volumes              NASIM            5,147          54.22m           10,534        -1.05
number of steel projects and decreased consumption, Iran is           weak domestic consumption, Iran’s potential for steel exports       to Southeast Asia. Over the first eight months of 2016, the
losing its status of net-importer.                                    is quite high.                                                      producer exported 1.09 million tons of semi-finished products.                ALMAS             12            157,560          13,130        -2.38
    Iran used to purchase around 3 million tons per year of               In the last Iranian year, the country’s total steel exports
billet (in 2012, for example), with Russia and Kazakhstan being       stood at 3.8 million tons. Around 50% of this volume were               Esfahan Steel Company, Iran’s largest producer of                        TSE Index Ends Flat,
the largest suppliers. In 2014, however, this figure plunged to        made up by flat-rolled products, mainly HRC, while up to 40%         construction steel, with a market share of 19%, mainly exports its           IFX Up 0.96%
around 250,000 tons, while in 2015-16, billet imports shrank          constituted semi-finished products, predominantly billet.            bar and beam products to neighboring countries. But it is now also
further to just occasional deals.                                         Major export destinations for Iranian flat products were         looking for new destinations for its semi-finished material.                  Tehran Stock Exchange’s main index gained 4.90 points or
    Now, with the expansion of production facilities, the country     European countries such as Italy, Spain and Germany, as well
faces the need to find markets for its steel.                          as the UAE in the Middle East. In the billet segment, the UAE,          “We are looking to sell billet to European customers,” ESCO              0.01% to end Sunday trade at 80,063.7.
    Iran’s steelmaking capacity stands at around 28 million tons,     Oman and Jordan were the main trading hub.                          sales and marketing deputy, Ehsan Dashtiyaneh, told Metal
according to Mobarakeh Steel Company’s Managing Director                  Until this year, Saudi Arabia was also one of the most          Bulletin earlier in October.                                                 More than 711 million shares valued at $49.1 million changed
Bahram Sobhani.                                                       promising destinations for Iranian billet, but after relations
    Over the first nine months of 2016, Iran’s steel production        deteriorated in January, the countries broke diplomatic ties,           As for flat steel export barriers in Europe, market insiders              hands for the day.
reached 13.21 million tons, up 8% year-on-year, according to          which meant Iran stopped exports to this destination.               believe Iran may offer new products, rather than change
the World Steel Association.                                              There is also an obstacle to hot-rolled coil exports from the   destinations.                                                                Iranian Parenteral and Pharmaceutical Company was the
    Despite these positive dynamics, this figure means that the        European side in the form of an anti-dumping investigation,
steelmaking capacity utilization rate is little over 60%. One of      where Iran has been targeted together with Brazil, Russia,              “If an anti-dumping duty is imposed, Mobarakeh Steel                     biggest riser, going up 5% to 12,140 rials per share.
the reasons for that is a stagnation of consumption in major          Ukraine and Serbia.                                                 Company (Iran’s largest flat steel producer) may replace HRC
steel-intensive sectors.                                                  The European Commission may impose provisional anti-            exports to Europe by slab and coated steel,” a market source said.           Sina Chemical Industries Company incurred the biggest
    In the last Iranian year (March 2015-16), the country’s steel     dumping measures on HR coil from the five countries within
consumption was assessed at 15-16 million tons, according to          nine months of the start of the investigation–that is by April 7,       Recently, however, the producer has increased focus on                   loss among all TSE-listed companies, as it went down 4.86% to
estimates by market participants. This is down around 1-1.5           2017.                                                               the domestic market, as “there has been a rise in domestic
million tons year-on-year.                                                In 2015, Iran’s HR coil exports to Europe were a little over    demand from new water projects and recent investments in the                 11,550 rials per share.
    “The problem is in the lack of investments in steel-              1 million tons, while in January-August 2016 they reached           oil industry”, according to the company source.
consuming sectors,” a producer said.                                  781,000 tons, according to Eurofer.                                                                                                              Ghadir Investment
    The World Bank expects GDP growth of around 4% for Iran               For the current Iranian year (ending March 20, 2017), the             Imports to Shrink
this year.                                                            country has an export target of around 6 million tons of steel          Despite MSC’s attention being concentrated on the                        Company gave the biggest
    “The hike of activity in the oil and gas sector will contribute   products. However, it will be hard to reach, if new sales outlets   domestic market, there is still insufficient local supply of thin
2.6% of this growth. The balance will come from the services                                                                              hot-rolled coil (2 mm thickness and below), for which there is               boost to the benchmark,
sector. Steel-intensive sectors such as construction and                              Considering the                                     great demand in Iran among pipe and profile producers.
infrastructure are not expected to show sizable growth until                          availability of the                                     In 2015, Iran imported around 3.3 million tons of flat steel              followed by Mobarakeh
2017,” the same producer said.                                                        nation’s natural                                    products. Out of the total volume, 70% were hot-rolled coil and
    Nevertheless, this is not the only challenge for Iranian          resources and growing                                               the rest cold-rolled coil and hot-dip galvanized. These products             Steel Company and
steelmakers. The government plans to increase annual steel            steelmaking capacities,                                             were imported despite a 15% import duty.
output to 55 million tons by 2025, with the largest portion of        as well as currently weak                                               This Iranian year, import duties have been raised to 20%                 Golgohar Mining and
steelmaking projects to be commissioned in the next three years.      domestic consumption,                                               for HR coil and CR coil, and to 26% for HDG. Duty increases
                                                                      Iran’s potential for steel                                          caused a lot of concerns among local consumers who appealed                  Industrial Company.
    A number of MoUs have been signed this year with                  exports is high                                                     to the government to reduce them. The duties, however,
international equipment suppliers to buy machinery for these                                                                              remained unchanged.                                                          Bandar Abbas Oil
projects. But if they are all implemented, they could lead                                                                                    Instead, one of MSC’s mills–Saba Steel Complex, which is
to overcapacity and cause price erosion for domestic steel                                                                                able to produce 700,000 tons per year of HR coil–was largely                 Refining Company weighed
products, potentially exacerbating the already challenging steel                                                                          dedicated to the production of thin HR coil, the company said
markets.                                                                                                                                  in August.                                                                   the most on TEDPIX,
                                                                                                                                              The move seems to have had its effect as over the first nine
    Some market participants have cast doubt on whether all of                                                                            months of 2016, Iran imported about 1.7 million tons of flat steel            followed by Tehran Oil
the announced investment programs will be realized on time, or                                                                            products, a market source estimates.
if, in fact, all of them will go ahead.                                                                                                       “MSC continues to grow, I will not be surprised if next year,            Refining Company and
                                                                                                                                          the import figure will be even smaller,” a market participant
    For example, the state-supported “eight provincial projects”,                                                                         said, indicating the planned expansion of Saba Steel Complex                 Islamic Republic of Iran
which have a total steelmaking capacity of more than 6 million                                                                            steelmaking and rolling capacity in 2017 to 1.6 million tons.
tons, date back to 2006.                                                                                                                                                                                               Shipping Lines.

    However, by the end of 2016, they will have just                                                                                                                                                                   The Price Index was

                                                                                                                                                                                                                       up 1.70 points or 0.01% to Over 711 million shares worth
                                                                                                                                                                                                                       stand at 28,250.3.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           The First Market Index      $49.1 million were traded at TSE.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                       gained 105.10 points or

                                                                                                                                                                                                                       0.19% to post 56,744.7.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                       The Second Market Index shed 569.10 points or 0.33% to

                                                                                                                                                                                                                       reach 170,897.9.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                       The Industry Index won 39.30 points or 0.06% to register

                                                                                                                                                                                                                       67,389.3.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                       The Free Float Index gave up 5.59 points or 0.01% to hit

                                                                                                                                                                                                                       88,721.90.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                       The TSE 30 Index added 5 points or 0.15% to settle at 3,265.1

                                                                                                                                                                                                                       while the TSE 50 Index won 2.90 points or 0.09% to finish at

                                                                                                                                                                                                                       3,148.8.

             Slovenian Firms Strike Deals Worth €10m in Iran                                                                                                                                                                 IFX Adds 7.94 Points
                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Iran Fara Bourse’s main index IFX gained 7.94 points or
Several Slovenian companies, including        Iranian market for decades, struck a deal        has a free-trade zone status, and later expand       Slovenia reopened its embassy in                                   0.96% to end Sunday trade at 838.46.
air domes manufacturer Duol and Iskratel      worth €5 million with Iranian switchgear maker   in other Iranian regions.                        Iran late November in the presence of                                      Some 1.05 billion securities valued at $65.4 million were
Telco, have signed deals worth €10 million    Electro Kavir for the supply of measuring and                                                     Slovenian President Borut Pahor and                                    traded at the over-the-counter exchange for the day.
with Iranian partners at the Slovenian-       pressing equipment.                                  Hydro turbines maker Litostroj Power         Iran’s Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad                                     Rail Pardaz Seir Company saw the highest number of traded
Iranian Business Conference in Tehran on                                                       signed a €4 million annex to the contract        Zarif.                                                                 shares, as more than 22.6 million of its shares changed hands.
Friday.                                           Iskratel has also signed a deal with the     for the project of Khoda Afarin Power Plant                                                                                 Kimiya Zanjan Gostaran Company registered the highest
                                              company Iran Tablo for the supply of protective  on the Iranian-Azerbaijani border, which             Heading a 50-strong commercial delegation,                         value with the trading of $1.1 million worth of its shares.
    Duol signed a deal worth €1 million to    relays and systemic solutions.                   is being built by Iranian industrial giant       Slovenian President Borut Pahor arrived in                                 Baghmisheh Urban Development and Housing Company,
construct an air dome at the Imam Khomeini                                                     Farab.                                           Tehran November 22 and was officially greeted                           Ravan Fanavar Engineering Company and Kimiya Zanjan
International Airport in Tehran.                  Margento, a Slovenian company researching                                                     by Iranian President Hassan Rouhani.                                   Gostaran Company had the highest value increase.
                                              mobile transaction services, signed a deal           Litostroj Power is to make two butterfly                                                                                 Day Insurance, Tuka Refractories Company and Iranian
    “The dome is to serve as a temporary      with the Iranian company City Development &      valves for the hydropower plant.                     In the presence of the two presidents,                             Investment Incorporation had the highest decline.
airport terminal and will be used during the  Innovations to establish a cashless payment                                                       three memoranda of understanding were                                      Marun Petrochemical Company, Zagros Petrochemical
renovation of the airport,” said Duol CEO     system with the use of mobile phones.                All companies have welcomed Slovenia’s       signed to expand economic interactions                                 Company and Arfa Steel Company had the most positive impact
Dusan Olaj, The Slovenia Times reported on                                                     decision to reopen the Slovenian Embassy         and increase cooperation in the fields of                               on the IFB benchmark.
Saturday.                                         It will first introduce the system on Kish    in Tehran, as this will be of great significance  information and communications technology
                                              Island, which is located in the Persian Gulf     for making new deals, especially with national   and nanotechnology.
    Iskratel, which has been present on the   about 20 kilometers from mainland Iran and       institutions, in Iran.
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